Page 97 - 《运动与健康科学》(英文)2024年第2期
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TaggedAPTARAEndPA and mortality in type 2 diabetes                                                    219
           evidence has low certainty according to Grading of Recom-  Kadoorie Biobank, whereas the doseresponse pattern was
           mendations,  Assessment,  Development  and  Evaluation  initially modest and shallow in the UK Biobank. Conversely,
           (GRADE) criteria. 12  A very strong curvilinear doseresponse  the doseresponse association with cardiovascular mortality
           association was observed in a study of 3000 British adults with  was noticeably steeper in British than in Chinese adults. A
           type 2 diabetes. Compared with no activity, activity below the  maximal achievable all-cause mortality reduction of 23% was
           recommended level was associated with 26% lower mortality,  observed at approximately 35 MET-h/week in Chinese adults,
           and meeting recommendations was associated with 35% lower  but no upper level of benefit was observed for other outcomes
           mortality. 27  Similarly, in an East Asian cohort, PA below and  in either cohort.TaggedAPTARAEnd
           at the recommended level was associated with 32% and 37%  TaggedAPTARAPSeveral factors could explain these differences. The large
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           lower mortality, respectively. In both studies, a similar curvi-  number of participants with undiagnosed type 2 diabetes from
           linear doseresponse pattern was observed for cardiovascular  China reflects different health-care systems, which could also
           mortality. This pattern and effect sizes are consistent with data  impact detection and coding of cardiovascular outcomes. Simi-
           from the general population. 29,30  In our study, PA below the  larly, the difference in the use of cardiovascular prophylactics
           recommended level had a much weaker association with  is reflected in the CVD incidence rates. The UK Biobank and
           mortality outcomes. The all-cause mortality risk reduction was  China Kadoorie Biobank cohorts are subject to different selec-
           6% in the UK Biobank and 13% in the China Kadoorie    tion-mechanisms, with a particularly high risk of healthy-
                                                                                             35
           Biobank, but cardiovascular mortality was 6% higher in the  volunteer bias in the UK Biobank.  In high-income Western
           China Kadoorie Biobank. PA below recommendations was  countries, BMI is strongly linked to a suite of lifestyle risk
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           associated with 20% lower cardiovascular mortality in the UK  factors and with poorer socioeconomic circumstances.  These
           Biobank, but there was no support of a curvilinear    pervasive sources of confounding are expected to amplify
           doseresponse association. Compared with our study, the East  associations between PA and mortality, and residual
           Asian cohort was based on long-term average PA from several  confounding may remain despite careful statistical modeling. 16
           repeated assessments, demonstrating that sustained engage-  In contrast, there was no gradient in BMI across leisure-time
           ment in PA is needed to maximize health benefits. The study  PA in the China Kadoorie Biobank, implying that BMI and its
           based in the UK was much smaller in comparison to ours  associated network of socioeconomic factors are not a source
           and included a less comprehensive approach to minimize  of confounding in this context. The minimal attenuation of
           confounding. Collectively, our data corroborate previous  effect sizes after adjustment for BMI in the China Kadoorie
           evidence that adults with type 2 diabetes could achieve impor-  Biobank confirms this notion and suggests the association
           tant reductions in total and cardiovascular mortality from  between PA and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality is inde-
           leisure-time PA but suggest that larger amounts than currently  pendent of BMI. Finally, adults of Asian origin may have a
                                                                 distinct pathophysiology and develop type 2 diabetes at a
           recommended are needed to achieve those benefits.TaggedAPTARAEnd
             TaggedAPTARAPPA, including exercise, improves conventional cardiovas-  lower BMI compared with adults of European origin. 37  Our
           cular risk markers, including HbA1c, in adults with type 2  data thus provide much-needed representation of the majority
                  5
           diabetes. Effects are dose-dependent with a mean change in  of adults living with type 2 diabetes worldwide.TaggedAPTARAEnd
           HbA1c of 0.36% with structured weekly exercise of 150 min
           or less and 0.89% with more than 150 min per week. 31
                                                                 TaggedAPTARAH24.3. Strengths and weaknessesTaggedAPTARAEnd
           However, translating these effects into hard end-points, such
           as mortality and cardiovascular events, have been far less  TaggedAPTARAPWe included large population-based samples, and we there-
           convincing. The LOOK AHEAD trial compared a weight-loss  fore expect participants to represent the level of variation in
           and PA-based lifestyle intervention (aiming for 175 min of  social conditions and medical treatment given to the majority
           moderate-intensity activities per week) with usual care but found  of adults with type 2 diabetes in the UK and China. Our statis-
           no reduction in cardiovascular morbidity or mortality. 32  In the  tical model was informed by a directed acyclic graph to reduce
           Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-up  the impact of confounding, and we carefully removed partici-
           Study, PA was not associated with non-fatal stroke, coronary  pants with mobility limitations or a history of major conditions
           heart disease, or myocardial infarction 33  andmore than4 hof  other than type 2 diabetes in addition to left-censoring the first
           exercise per week was needed to lower a composite of fatal and  3 years of follow-up to reduce confounding from poor health.
           non-fatal CVD. 33,34  These results are consistent with our findings  Corroborative analysis in patients with type 2 diabetes and a
           and suggest PA does not lower rates of non-fatal CVD in adults  history of CVD provides wider generalizability to a common
           with type 2 diabetes but may instead prevent cardiovascular  high-risk group. We highlight the following limitations: (a)
                                                                 Despite our best efforts to standardize data analysis between
           mortality by increasing survival with CVD.TaggedAPTARAEnd
                                                                 the 2 studies, the leisure-time PA questionnaires were not iden-
                                                                 tical. Specifically, only the main type of activity was reported
           TaggedAPTARAH24.2. Cross-country comparisonTaggedAPTARAEnd
                                                                 in the China Kadoorie Biobank, which could underestimate
             TaggedAPTARAPWe were unable to determine a consistent minimal effective  absolute levels of PA in individuals performing multiple activi-
           dose or a maximal achievable risk reduction across both  ties and, thereby, influence the doseresponse pattern. Addi-
           cohorts and mortality outcomes. Any non-zero level of PA  tionally, we included light do-it-yourself activities (assigning
           was associated with lower all-cause mortality in the China  these as 2.25 METs) from the UK Biobank questionnaire
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