Page 77 - 《高原气象》2026年第1期
P. 77
1 期 陈 润等:三江源区雨季水汽源的年际变化及其影响因素 73
之, 贡献了 18. 87% 的水汽; 西风区和东亚季风区 es of the extreme precipitation over Northern and Southern Xinji‐
分别贡献了7%和3. 08%的水汽。 ang in the summer half-year during 1979-2018[J]. Frontiers in
Earth Science, 9: 770877. DOI: 10. 3389/feart. 2021. 770877.
(3) 三江源区雨季水汽源以增加趋势为主, 其
Koppa A, Keune J, Macleod D A, et al, 2023. A Lagrangian analysis
中青藏高原内部及喜马拉雅南麓区域最为显著, 超
of the sources of rainfall over the horn of Africa Drylands[J].
过4 mm·(10a) 。这与南亚季风和高原季风的持续 Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 128(12):
-1
增强有关, 提升了南亚季风区、 青藏高原内部和周 e2022JD038408. DOI: 10. 1029/2022JD038408.
边区域的水汽输送能力。青藏高原西部至中亚地 Li F X, Wang W, Yin Y Y, et al, 2020. Climate control on summer
区的水汽贡献呈现弱的下降趋势, 与中亚西风急流 precipitation in the Source Region of Three Rivers, China: East
位置南移和强度减弱密切相关。东亚季风年际变 or South Asian summer monsoon?[J]. Hydrological Sciences
Journal, 65(2): 242-253. DOI: 10. 1080/02626667. 2019.
化不显著, 其对三江源区雨季水汽输送的调控作用
1686637.
相对较弱。
Liu R, Wang X, Wang Z L, 2022a. Atmospheric moisture sources of
本文的结果突出了青藏高原水汽对三江源区
drought and wet events during 1979-2019 in the Three-River
降水的贡献, 这与刘璇等(2025)使用拉格朗日模式 Source Region, Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau[J]. Theoretical and Ap‐
Hysplit 和李颖等(2022)使用欧拉水汽追踪模式的 plied Climatology, 149: 487-499. DOI: 10. 1007/s00704-022-
结果相似, 但由于模式、 驱动数据和区域划分的差 04058-9.
异, 不同区域的贡献率存在一定差异。在第 4 节的 Liu Y M, Meng X H, Zhao L, et al, 2022b. Associated summer rain‐
fall changes over the Three Rivers Source Region in China with
分析可以发现, 中亚西风急流、 东亚季风、 南亚季
the East Asian Westerly Jet from 1979 to 2015[J]. Journal of Ap‐
风和高原季风也存在一定的相互关系, 在未来的工
plied Meteorology and Climatology, 61(10): 1385-1397. DOI:
作中, 应该针对四种系统对三江源区水汽源的耦合
10. 1175/JAMC-D-21-0127. 1.
作用进行研究, 以期得到更多有价值的结果。 Numaguti A, 1999. Origin and recycling processes of precipitating wa‐
ter over the Eurasian continent: experiments using an atmospher‐
参考文献(References):
ic general circulation model[J]. Journal of Geophysical Re‐
search: Atmospheres, 104(D2): 1957-1972. DOI: 10. 1029/
Chen B, Xu X D, Yang S, et al, 2012. On the origin and destination
1998JD200026.
of atmospheric moisture and air mass over the Tibetan Plateau[J].
Peng D D, Zhou T J, Sun Y, et al, 2022. Interannual variation in
Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 110: 423-435. DOI: 10.
1007/s00704-012-0641-y. moisture sources for the first rainy season in South China Estimat‐
ed by the FLEXPART Model[J]. Journal of Climate, 35(2):
Chen B, Zhang W, Yang S, et al, 2019. Identifying and contrasting
the sources of the water vapor reaching the subregions of the Ti‐ 745-761. DOI: 10. 1175/JCLI-D-21-0289. 1.
betan Plateau during the wet season[J]. Climate Dynamics, 53: Pisso I, Sollum E, Grythe H, et al, 2019. The Lagrangian particle dis‐
6891-6907. DOI: 10. 1007/s00382-019-04963-2. persion model FLEXPART version 10. 4[J]. Geoscientific Model
Fremme A, Sodemann H, 2019. The role of land and ocean evapora‐ Development, 12(12): 4955-4997. DOI: 10. 5194/gmd-12-
tion on the variability of precipitation in the Yangtze River valley 4955-2019.
[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23(6): 2525-2540. Shi H Y, Li T J, Wei J H, et al, 2016. Spatial and temporal character‐
DOI: 10. 5194/hess-23-2525-2019. istics of precipitation over the Three-River Headwaters region dur‐
Goswami B N, Krishnamurthy V, Annmalai H, 1999. A broad-scale ing 1961-2014[J]. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 6:
circulation index for the interannual variability of the Indian sum‐ 52-65. DOI: 10. 1016/j. ejrh. 2016. 03. 001.
mer monsoon[J]. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Sodemann H, Schwierz C, Wernli H, 2008. Interannual variability of
Society, 125(554): 611-633. DOI: 10. 1002/qj. 49712555412. Greenland winter precipitation sources: Lagrangian moisture di‐
Hartigan J A, Wong M A, 1979. Algorithm AS 136: A K-Means clus‐ agnostic and North Atlantic Oscillation influence[J]. Journal of
tering algorithm[J]. Applied Statistics, 28(1): 100. DOI: 10. Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 113(D3), 107. DOI: 10.
1002/qj. 49712555412. 1029/2007JD008503.
Held I M, Soden B J, 2006. Robust responses of the hydrological cy‐ Sodemann H, Stohl A, 2009. Asymmetries in the moisture origin of
cle to global warming[J]. Journal of Climate, 19(21): 5686- Antarctic precipitation[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 36
5699. DOI: 10. 1175/JCLI3990. 1. (22): 803. DOI: 10. 1029/2009GL040242.
Hu Q, Jiang D B, Lang X M, 2018. Sources of moisture for different Stohl A, James P, 2004. A Lagrangian analysis of the atmospheric
intensities of summer rainfall over the Chinese Loess Plateau dur‐ branch of the global water cycle. Part I: method description, vali‐
ing 1979-2009[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 38 dation, and demonstration for the August 2002 Flooding in Cen‐
(S1): e1280-e1287. DOI: 10. 1002/joc. 5416. tral Europe[J]. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5(4): 656-678.
Hu Q, Zhao Y, Huang A N, et al, 2021. Moisture transport and sourc‐ DOI: 10. 1175/1525-7541(2004)005<0656: ALAOTA>2. 0.

