Page 95 - 《水产学报》2026年第3期

3 期 刘 明：基于 PS-DR-DP 理论模型的山东省海洋资源环境承载力评价 50 卷

洋资源环境的破坏和退化会对人类经济活动和生 on ecological footprints: a case study in Northwestern Guangxi,
命健康造成损害，因此人们通过直接的海洋环境 China[J]. International Journal of Environmental Research and
污染治理，增加了海域的恢复力，促进了海洋资 Public Health, 2020, 17(3): 991.
源环境承载力的增加。增加恢复力有利于恢复潜 [10] Arrow K, Bolin B, Costanza R, et al. Economic growth, carry-
在资源，从而促进支撑力的增加。随着社会经济 ing capacity, and the environment[J]. Ecological Economics,
的不断发展，人们还可以通过提高海洋科技水平 1995, 15(2): 91-95.
提高海洋资源利用率，降低潜在的海洋资源消耗， [11] Coccossis H, Mexa A. The challenge of tourism carrying capa-
促进支撑力的发展。利用更先进的海洋科技，通 city assessment: theory and practice[M]. London: Routledge,
过市场机制和政策引导，建立政产学研金企相结 2017.
合的海洋科技创新战略联盟，破解海洋重大科技 [12] Agmour N, Bentounsi M, Achtaich N, et al. Carrying capacity
难题，及时推动海洋科技成果转化，加快海洋生 influence on the incomes of seiners exploiting marine species in
态修复，加强海洋污染治理与修复，增强抗风险 the Atlantic coast of Morocco[J]. Mathematical Biosciences,
能力，减缓海洋资源环境退化。这不仅增加了海 2018, 305: 10-17.
洋资源环境的提升力，也间接增加了海洋资源环 [13] Ariani F, Rahimah I, Sipahutar R, et al. Suitability and carrying
capacity analyses for marine ecotourism development of the
境的恢复力。在支撑力和恢复力的共同作用下，
Medang Deras Subdistrict, Batubara district, province of North
海洋资源利用率提高的同时，消耗有所下降，从
Sumatera[J]. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental
而会对海洋资源环境承载力产生正向影响，促进
Science, 2020, 584: 012010.
海洋资源环境改善。
[14] Bui L T, Tran D L T. Assessing marine environmental carrying
（作者声明本文无利益冲突） capacity in semi-enclosed coastal areas-models and related
databases[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2022, 838:
参考文献 (References)： 156043.
[15] Yang S W, Ren L L, Gou L F. An empirical study on the envir-
[ 1 ] Stojanovic T A, Farmer C J Q. The development of world
onmental carrying capacity of marine resources based on the
oceans & coasts and concepts of sustainability[J]. Marine
entropy-weight TOPSIS model[J]. Journal of Coastal Research,
Policy, 2013, 42: 157-165.
2022, 38(5): 1037-1049.
[ 2 ] Han Y, Wei F Y, Ye G Q, et al. A study on evaluation the mar-
[16] 张静,宁凌,曹阳春. 基于熵权 TOPSIS 模型的海洋资源环境
ine carrying capacity in Guangxi , China[J]. Marine Policy,
承载力评价研究——以广东省为例 [J]. 生态经济, 2020,
2018, 91: 66-74.
[ 3 ] Malthus R T. An essay on the principle of population: the 1803 36(3): 162-167.
edition[M]. New Haven: Yale University Press, 2018. Zhang J, Ning L, Cao Y C . Evaluation of environmental bear-
[ 4 ] Park R, Assimilation B E. Introduction to the science of soci- ing capacity of marine resources based on Entropy Weight
ology[J]. American Journal of Sociology, 1912. TOPSIS Model: taking Guangdong Province as an example[J].
[ 5 ] Hadwen S, Palmer L J. Reindeer in Alaska[R]. Washington: Ecological Economy , 2020, 36(3): 162-167 (in Chinese).
United States Department of Agriculture, 1922: 33-52. [17] Wu K K, Chen K L, Gao Y, et al. Applying a set of potential
[ 6 ] Cohen J E. Population growth and earth's human carrying capa- methods for the integrated assessment of the marine eco-envir-
city[J]. Science, 1995, 269(5222): 341-346. onmental carrying capacity in coastal areas[J]. Sustainability,
[ 7 ] Young C C. Defining the range: the development of carrying 2022, 14(8): 4416.
capacity in management practice[J]. Journal of the History of [18] 狄乾斌, 韩雨汐, 高群. 基于改进的 AD-AS 模型的中国海洋
Biology, 1998, 31(1): 61-83. 生态综合承载力评估 [J]. 资源与产业, 2015, 17(1): 74-78.
[ 8 ] Liu R J, Pu L J, Zhu M, et al. Coastal resource-environmental Di Q B, Han Y X, Gao Q. Comprehensive loading capacity of
carrying capacity assessment: a comprehensive and trade-off China's oceanic ecology based on improved AD-AS model[J].
analysis of the case study in Jiangsu coastal zone, eastern Resources & Industries, 2015, 17(1): 74-78 (in Chinese).
China[J]. Ocean & Coastal Management, 2020, 186: 105092. [19] Ying H, Chen S Y, Mao Y Q. Research on marine ecological
[ 9 ] Shi S N, Hu B Q, Yan Y, et al. Dynamic evolution of the ecolo- carrying capacity of Ningbo City in China based on system
gical carrying capacity of poverty-stricken karst counties based dynamics[J]. Sustainability, 2022, 14(8): 4568.

中国水产学会主办 sponsored by China Society of Fisheries https://www.china-fishery.cn
11