Page 37 - 《中国电力》2026年第4期
P. 37
陆建宇等:考虑风光发电不确定性的风光水火多能互补区域电网中期优化调度方法 2026 年第 4 期
hydro-wind-photovoltaic hybrid systems[J]. Energy, 2025, 315: Proceedings of the CSEE, 2024, 44(13): 5158–5169.
134362. [15] 周健, 冯楠, 季怡萍, 等. 考虑源网协同支撑作用的含新能源电力系
[7] 陈仕军, 许唯临, 陈作强, 等. 面向航运的金沙江下游水库群中长期 统网架重构决策优化方法 [J]. 中国电力, 2024, 57(10): 150–157.
多目标协同调度研究 [J/OL]. 工程科学与技术, 1–11[2026-02-28]. ZHOU Jian, FENG Nan, JI Yiping, et al. A decision-making
CHEN Shijun, XU Weilin, CHEN Zuoqiang, et al. Study on medium- optimization method for network reconfiguration of power system
and long term multi objective collaborative scheduling of the with new energy considering the synergistic support of source-
reservoirs group in the lower reaches of the Jinsha River for grid[J]. Electric Power, 2024, 57(10): 150–157.
navigation[J/OL]. Advanced Engineering Sciences, 1–11[2026-02- [16] 赵唯嘉, 张宁, 康重庆, 等. 光伏发电出力的条件预测误差概率分布
28]. 估计方法 [J]. 电力系统自动化, 2015, 39(16): 8–15.
[8] NIU Y B, WANG J Z, ZHANG Z Y, et al. De-Trend First, Attend ZHAO Weijia, ZHANG Ning, KANG Chongqing, et al. A method of
Next: a Mid-Term PV forecasting system with attention mechanism probabilistic distribution estimation of conditional forecast error for
and encoder–decoder structure[J]. Applied Energy, 2024, 353: photovoltaic power generation[J]. Automation of Electric Power
122169. Systems, 2015, 39(16): 8–15.
[9] BERGMEIR C, DE NIJS F, GENOV E, et al. Predict+Optimize [17] 赵书强, 张婷婷, 李志伟, 等. 基于数值特性聚类的日前光伏出力预
problem in renewable energy scheduling[J]. IEEE Access, 2025, 13: 测误差分布模型 [J]. 电力系统自动化, 2019, 43(13): 36–45.
60064–60087. ZHAO Shuqiang, ZHANG Tingting, LI Zhiwei, et al. Distribution
[10] KAZMI H, TAO Z M. How good are TSO load and renewable model of day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasting error based on
generation forecasts: Learning curves, challenges, and the road numerical characteristic clustering[J]. Automation of Electric Power
ahead[J]. Applied Energy, 2022, 323: 119565. Systems, 2019, 43(13): 36–45.
[11] 陈仕军, 于倩楠, 赵夏, 等. 小水电改造混合式抽水蓄能机组对水光 [18] 卫志农, 马智刚, 陈胜, 等. 考虑光伏随机性的交直流混合配电网鲁
互补系统的发电影响研究 [J]. 水电与抽水蓄能, 2024, 10(6): 棒机会约束安全域模型 [J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2024, 44(6):
45–53, 86. 2208–2219, I0010.
CHEN Shijun, YU Qiannan, ZHAO Xia, et al. Power generation WEI Zhinong, MA Zhigang, CHEN Sheng, et al. Robust chance-
impact of hybrid pumped storage units in small hydropower constrained security region model of AC/DC hybrid distribution
transformation on hydro-photovoltaic complementary systems[J]. network considering the uncertainty of photovoltaic generation[J].
Hydropower and Pumped Storage, 2024, 10(6): 45–53, 86. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2024, 44(6): 2208–2219, I0010.
[12] 王月, 申建建, 程春田, 等. 考虑电站集群与发电时变特性的风光出 [19] 朱兰, 李孝均, 唐陇军, 等. 考虑相变储能与建筑蓄能特性的微网分
力描述方法 [J]. 电网技术, 2023, 47(4): 1558–1572. 布鲁棒优化调度 [J]. 电网技术, 2021, 45(6): 2308–2319.
WANG Yue, SHEN Jianjian, CHENG Chuntian, et al. Description of ZHU Lan, LI Xiaojun, TANG Longjun, et al. Distributionally robust
wind and solar power generation considering power plant clusters and optimal operation for microgrid considering phase change storage
time-varying power characteristics[J]. Power System Technology, and building storage[J]. Power System Technology, 2021, 45(6):
2023, 47(4): 1558–1572. 2308–2319.
[13] 王莉丽, 戚永志, 黄越辉, 等. 电力系统弃风指标和弃风序列建模研 [20] 王月, 申建建, 郝婷洁, 等. 耦合多受端日内负荷特征的流域水风光
究 [J]. 中国电力, 2019, 52(4): 178–184. 系统中期调度方法 [J]. 电力系统自动化, 2025, 49(19): 174–184.
WANG Lili, QI Yongzhi, HUANG Yuehui, et al. Wind power WANG Yue, SHEN Jianjian, HAO Tingjie, et al. Mid-term
curtailment index and sequence model for power systems[J]. Electric scheduling method for basin hydro-wind-solar system coupled with
Power, 2019, 52(4): 178–184. intraday load characteristics of multiple receiving ends[J].
[14] 李湃, 黄越辉, 张金平, 等. 多能互补发电系统电/热/氢储能容量协 Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2025, 49(19): 174–184.
调优化配置 [J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2024, 44(13): 5158–5169. [21] SHEN J J, WANG Y, LIN M K, et al. Quantifying the impact of
LI Pai, HUANG Yuehui, ZHANG Jinping, et al. Capacity extreme weather on China's hydropower–wind–solar renewable
coordinated optimization of battery, thermal and hydrogen storage energy system[J]. Nature Water, 2025, 3(4): 415–429.
system for multi-energy complementary power system[J]. [22] HOSEINI N, SHEIKHOLESLAMI A, BARFOROUSHI T, et al.
33

