Page 101 - 《水产学报》2026年第01期

1 期 韩冠荣，等：基于栖息地模型的西北太平洋柔鱼索饵洄游路径推测及其与厄尔尼诺-南方涛动的关系 50 卷

表 1 7—11 月各旬 SI 函数拟合结果
Tab. 1 Fitting results of SI function for each ten-day period from July to November
旬 SI SST SI SSH SI PAR
ten-days 2 2 2
a b R RMSE P a b R RMSE P a b R RMSE P
Jul_1 −0.112 16.238 0.896 0.117 0.003 −48.574 0.006 0.987 0.042 0.000 −0.010 38.089 0.826 0.151 0.028
Jul_2 −0.155 17.416 0.886 0.125 0.000 −45.787 −0.058 0.966 0.068 0.000 −0.023 32.135 0.995 0.026 0.000
Jul_3 −0.193 17.761 0.913 0.105 0.000 −56.790 −0.074 0.978 0.057 0.000 −0.019 35.335 0.997 0.023 0.000
Aug_1 −0.283 18.690 0.976 0.051 0.000 −19.775 −0.125 0.906 0.134 0.001 −0.015 35.900 0.959 0.073 0.002
Aug_2 −0.176 17.776 0.999 0.017 0.000 −28.227 −0.196 0.896 0.131 0.005 −0.011 32.282 0.986 0.051 0.000
Aug_3 −0.109 17.758 0.980 0.078 0.000 −31.442 −0.191 0.931 0.102 0.002 −0.011 30.413 0.894 0.114 0.003
Sep_1 −0.098 17.433 0.966 0.092 0.000 −23.414 −0.161 0.878 0.153 0.004 −0.022 29.009 0.960 0.078 0.010
Sep_2 −0.281 16.377 0.993 0.031 0.000 −33.400 −0.116 0.979 0.064 0.000 −0.019 25.932 0.965 0.101 0.022
Sep_3 −0.280 15.249 0.998 0.019 0.000 −33.975 −0.105 0.908 0.142 0.007 −0.028 24.221 0.834 0.149 0.001
Oct_1 −0.287 14.750 0.975 0.055 0.000 −23.312 −0.064 0.804 0.189 0.015 −0.059 21.358 0.981 0.051 0.000
Oct_2 −0.194 14.293 0.997 0.029 0.000 −37.935 −0.069 0.970 0.066 0.000 −0.073 18.737 0.974 0.059 0.000
Oct_3 −0.287 14.218 0.992 0.031 0.000 −50.897 −0.082 0.982 0.047 0.000 −0.066 17.134 0.965 0.068 0.001
Nov_1 −0.423 13.247 0.988 0.039 0.000 −34.108 −0.144 0.941 0.094 0.000 −0.068 14.735 0.974 0.081 0.012
Nov_2 −0.250 12.376 0.999 0.013 0.000 −78.925 −0.118 0.956 0.070 0.000 −0.103 11.491 0.995 0.047 0.002
Nov_3 −0.155 11.279 0.997 0.038 0.000 −36.275 −0.082 0.940 0.089 0.000 −0.071 11.813 0.986 0.052 0.003
均值 mean 0.970 0.056 0.000 0.935 0.096 0.002 0.953 0.075 0.006
注：“RMSE”为均方根误差，“Jul_1, Jul_2, …, Nov_3”分别代表7月上旬、7月中旬……11月下旬。
Notes: "RMSE" is root mean squard error, “Jul_1, Jul_2, …, Nov_3” represent early July, mid-July, …, late November.

表 2 1998—2017 年两种栖息地类型的产量和捕捞努力量对比
Tab. 2 Comparison of yield and fishing effort for two habitat types from 1998 to 2017
适宜栖息地 suitable habitat 不良栖息地 unsuitable habitat
栖息地模型
HSI model 产量/t 产量占比/% 捕捞努力量/d 捕捞努力量占比/% 产量/t 产量占比/% 捕捞努力量/d 捕捞努力量占比/%
catch catch ratio effort effort ratio catch catch ratio effort effort ratio
Jul_1 3 689 67.79 3 790 71.59 1 0.02 3 0.06
Jul_2 7 241 58.62 5 073 56.41 70 0.57 114 1.27
Jul_3 11 965 55.68 8 259 56.66 644 3.00 431 2.96
Aug_1 27 160 71.46 12 524 70.40 178 0.47 91 0.51
Aug_2 32 999 72.86 12 567 71.09 1 552 3.43 548 3.10
Aug_3 48 294 77.97 16 583 79.14 937 1.51 247 1.18
Sep_1 41 435 82.44 15 884 81.27 449 0.89 99 0.51
Sep_2 37 253 72.59 14 115 71.49 312 0.61 117 0.59
Sep_3 34 507 75.15 13 621 77.16 566 1.23 149 0.84
Oct_1 33 840 73.78 15 393 76.71 249 0.54 61 0.30
Oct_2 24 150 71.38 11 389 74.46 236 0.70 124 0.81
Oct_3 19 382 58.90 9 701 63.76 130 0.40 68 0.45
Nov_1 28 415 66.23 11 354 64.25 776 1.81 627 3.55
Nov_2 19 956 59.88 5 711 50.77 408 1.22 284 2.52
Nov_3 14 411 71.22 6 120 73.48 47 0.23 27 0.32
均值 mean 25 647 69.06 10 805 69.24 437 1.10 199 1.26

中国水产学会主办 sponsored by China Society of Fisheries https://www.china-fishery.cn
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